Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.243635 0.282796 0.326264 0.378099 0.438252 0.505885 0.587748
2025-05-25 0.174185 0.224083 0.285391 0.366311 0.470425 0.600055 0.774023
2025-06-01 0.144959 0.200152 0.272873 0.375814 0.518044 0.708058 0.981972
2025-06-08 0.122663 0.179403 0.258538 0.377138 0.550815 0.796587 1.172238
2025-06-15 0.107703 0.165564 0.250335 0.383818 0.589399 0.895214 1.387027
2025-06-22 0.092403 0.148485 0.234328 0.375594 0.603175 0.957147 1.552891
2025-06-29 0.081195 0.135861 0.222952 0.372162 0.622634 1.028422 1.740414
2025-07-06 0.073088 0.126966 0.216039 0.374456 0.650726 1.115575 1.963377
2025-07-13 0.068988 0.124138 0.218547 0.392462 0.706852 1.255037 2.291981
2025-07-20 0.064560 0.120083 0.218295 0.405307 0.755008 1.385595 2.620185
2025-07-27 0.060512 0.116144 0.217652 0.417107 0.802253 1.519263 2.969745
2025-08-03 0.055945 0.110627 0.213390 0.421431 0.835620 1.630458 3.289267
2025-08-10 0.050765 0.103414 0.205307 0.417826 0.854029 1.716871 3.574554
2025-08-17 0.045160 0.094684 0.193299 0.405011 0.852607 1.764411 3.787791
2025-08-24 0.042620 0.091896 0.192775 0.415523 0.900211 1.916267 4.238449
2025-08-31 0.039480 0.087440 0.188267 0.416987 0.928616 2.031039 4.622981
2025-09-07 0.037184 0.084520 0.186627 0.424380 0.970642 2.179473 5.100727
2025-09-14 0.033783 0.078723 0.178075 0.415279 0.974449 2.243866 5.393465
2025-09-21 0.031140 0.074341 0.172165 0.411482 0.989913 2.336154 5.763319
2025-09-28 0.029198 0.071370 0.169120 0.414020 1.020580 2.467056 6.243117
2025-10-05 0.028545 0.071418 0.173110 0.433946 1.095744 2.712329 7.038618
2025-10-12 0.027554 0.070513 0.174716 0.448161 1.158396 2.934286 7.803104
2025-10-19 0.026548 0.069452 0.175816 0.461220 1.219659 3.159801 8.605948